Considering Novak Djokovic has lost just one match all year it might come as a surprise to many that we’re opposing him on Friday.
The Serbian has been in sublime form this year and thanks to his defeat at the French Open, Djokovic has been flying under the radar with Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer dominating headlines over the past month.
However it is Jo-Wilfried Tsonga who has been dominating the headlines since his incredible comeback to end Federer’s hopes of a seventh Wimbledon title, and it’s the Frenchman who has the advantage in Friday’s semi-final.
Djokovic may be the 4/9 favourite but he has been turned over by Tsonga on five of their seven career meetings, including their most recent in the 2010 Australian Open quarter-final.
On the seven occasions they have met, Djokovic has been 4/9 or shorter in five of them and has lost four of them – the only one he won was their first ever meeting in the 2008 Australian Open.
Having had the pleasure of witnessing Tsonga in full flow in his third round match with Fernando Gonzalez, I can confirm that the Frenchman’s serve is in incredible form and the world number 19 holds all the value at 7/4.
The fact Tsonga heads the world number two 5-2 in head-to-heads is a stat that can’t be ignored but three of those wins came in matches that went the distance and the other two matches both included a tiebreak.
The last meeting between these two was a classic five-setter and we could be on for a repeat on Friday with exactly five sets available at 7/4.
You can get 1/2 that there is a tiebreak in the match and 4/5 that there are over 4.5 games in the match.
The handicap betting gives Tsonga a +3.5 game start and you can back the Frenchman at 4/5, but the bet of the market looks to be the 13/2 for Tsonga to win the match 3-2.