Andy Murray has enjoyed a solid if unspectacular run to the Miami Masters final, looking to win the competition for the second time in his career and climb to number two in the world rankings.
David Ferrer stands in his way though, and the duo are closely matched in their head-to-heads with the Scot currently edging it 6-5.
It’s in recent years that their clashes have really tightened up however, with just two of their last 12 sets being won by a bigger margin than two games.
Four of their last seven sets together have gone to a tie-break, and that’s where the value is to be had.
Odds of 6/4 to see a tie-break in the match are promising for two players competing at very similar levels, and that lends itself to the First Set Correct Score market.
Two of the last three opening sets have finished 6-4 to Ferrer, and the world number five is a very attractive 8/1 to do so again.
Murray isn’t the quickest out of the blocks, and has three times lost the opening set to the Spaniard before winning the match.
The Scot comes into this match after losing the first to Richard Gasquet in the previous round as well, and the world number three is a tempting 5/1 to suffer a slow start once again, before claiming victory.
Another, perhaps less risky market is the total sets.
Ferrer has needed three in both his previous two matches, and Murray needed likewise to get past Gasquet in the semis.
When you add that their two previous meetings went to a total of nine sets, then odds of 13/8 to see a full three setter here will tempt many.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing