Nikolay Davydenko is overpriced in the tennis betting at 5/2 to successfully defend his Qatar ExxonMobil Open title by beating Roger Federer in the final.
Davydenko beat Federer in the semi finals 12 months ago in Doha, before going on to get the better of world number one Rafael Nadal in the final.
This year he is on course to beat the world’s best two-ranked players in the opposition order, after comfortably seeing off an ill Nadal in the last-four 6-3, 6-0.
One of the key elements to take from this victory was the little it pushed Davydenko, meaning that he should be relatively fresh for the clash with Federer.
Meanwhile, both of the Russians two career victories over Federer have come on hard courts.
Federer is the obvious favourite in the tennis betting at 2/7 and knows how to beat Davydenko, having achieved this 14 times in the past.
Furthermore, he may also be determined to reclaim his place on top of the world rankings, which could have a positive impact on his game as he searches for victory in his first tournament of the year.
One thing that will definitely happen in the final is that at least one of the players will drop their first set in Doha.
Both have won all of their four matches so far in straight sets, with Federer 8/11 to continue this run against Davydenko.
Davydenko is 5/1 to secure the title in straight sets and the same price in the tennis odds to pull through 2-1.
Perhaps the best betting opportunity is that Davydenko wins the first set at 7/4, as he has been a much faster starter than Federer through the tournament to date.
A £10 bet on Federer losing the first set but coming back to win the final could see a return of £50. New Ladbrokes customers can sign up here for a free £10 bet.