Picking the winning candidate in the race to be the Rugby World Cup’s top tryscorer is difficult such is the strength in depth that New Zealand coach Graham Henry has at his disposal.
The All Blacks dominate the World Cup betting for a very good reason – they have home advantage – but with so many potential tryscorers in their backline, it’s difficult to find the best bet.
New Zealand have dominated the top tryscorers charts in three of the last four World Cups but Bryan Habana, of winners South Africa, upset the Kiwi’s in 2007.
With New Zealand expected to go all the way to the final, there will be plenty of opportunities for the players to score tries.
Graham Henry has made nine changes to the side that lost 25-20 to Australia in the final Tri-Nations match and with no room for top tryscorer’s Mils Muiliaina or Conrad Smith, it’s tough to pick New Zealand’s strongest scorer.
With six tries in 12 appearances (10 starts) Richard Kahui looks New Zealand’s best bet at 14/1 to be the top tryscorer and 8/1 to be New Zealand’s top tryscorer.
Digby Ioane is easily Australia’s biggest try threat and with eight tries in 16 appearances, he’s a real danger to Kahui, especially as Australia look likely final opponents for New Zealand.
The 3/1 for Ioane to be Australia’s top tryscorer looks incredible value but the Wallabies face some potentially stifling teams in Pool C and the Kiwi’s edge that one.
England may have racked up eight tries against Italy in the Six Nations but they have managed just nine tries in their seven other games this year and while Chris Ashton is good, he can’t work miracles.
South Africa scored 39 tries in 14 games in 2010 but have managed just three in four in 2011 but face a group that is likely to provide more tries than any other group.
Bryan Habana has it a dry spell so back JP Pietersen at 4/1 to be South Africa’s top tryscorer.
Maxime Medard is the dark horse of this betting market and as long as Marc Lievremont doesn’t tinker too much with the French side, the 25/1 for Medard being top scorer could be massive.
Back him at 7/2 to be France’s top tryscorer.