England have named IRB World Player of the Year nominee Owen Farrell at fly-half for their autumn international against New Zealand – but even his presence won’t be enough to stop the rampant All Blacks.
The reigning World Cup winners are currently priced at a microscopic 1/10 to win at Twickenham this Saturday and, following their dominant displays against their Northern Hemisphere opponents so far, it’s hard to see them running out anything other than convincing winners.
England haven’t beaten the All Blacks since 2003 – the year a vastly superior England team won the World Cup. The Southern Hemisphere giants have won all nine of their subsequent encounters with England, with the smallest winning margin being four points back in 2005.
Betting on New Zealand’s winning margin looks like the best way to make some decent cash out of this clash.
The All Blacks welcome back talisman Dan Carter to their back line after the fly-half missed their convincing 33-10 victory over Wales last weekend. Even though Carter was absent for that clash, his replacement at No.10, Aaron Cruden, was immaculate and kicked 18 points for the tourists.
That accomplished display from Cruden is indicative of the quality New Zealand have across their squad and, with the visitors winning their last three games against England by an average of just over 16 points another straightforward win looks well worth backing.
While the optimism surrounding England following the appointment of Stuart Lancaster has evaporated somewhat in recent months, they should still give New Zealand a tougher test than Wales who have now lost their last six matches.
Backing the All Blacks to run out winners with a -12 handicap at 4/6 may not be the most exciting of bets but, with England almost unbackable (even at 6/1 to win) that looks like the best bet to take on.
All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date