Where will Boris stand? Hertsmere straight in as new favourite.

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Following the news that James Clappison is to step down as MP for the super-safe Tory seat of Hertsmere, that has become the new 3/1 favourite for the constituency that Boris will stand in at the 2015 general election.

Kensington has also been a mover, from 20/1 into 8/1, due to speculation that Malcolm Rifkind may get the next EU Commissioner job and free up the seat. Previous favourite North West Hampshire has moved the other way now that they have selected a candidate.

Hove enters the betting at 20/1 after another retirement, but Labour are odds-on to gain that seat next year, so it’s pretty unlikely Boris would want to take his chances there (although I think that seat might be quite receptive to him).

 

 

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Matthew Shaddick

Matthew Shaddick has been Head of Poliical Betting at Ladbrokes since 2008. He's a writer and odds-maker with particular expertise in UK and US elections. Also known to dabble in music, literary and other out of the way betting markets. Sometimes issues tips on horse racing and football, which are best ignored.