Although Brazil’s World Cup humiliation is sure to dominate the news sphere for some time (well until the competition is over) back home in Britain other issues are bubbling, waiting to surface when footie mania dissipates and the big one is Scottish Independence.
On September 18, while most Brits will be booking their final week’s sun-seeking, Scottish voters will be making the biggest political call of their lives in a national referendum on independence.
Vote YES and the breakup of the 300-year Union between England and Scotland will commence and the Scottish National Party will take sole control of governing the country’s affairs.
Vote NO and Scotland will maintain its current devolved powers in Edinburgh, but the United Kingdom will remain intact and Westminster will retain overall control of Scotland.
Of course, this is a hugely simplified version of the complex issues surrounding the debate, but what does it all mean for punters and what do the latest polls indicate the mood to be north of the border?
According to Ladbrokes, SNP leader Alex Salmond is a long way from achieving his dream with odds of 9/2 for YES and 1/7 that the Scottish voting public choose to stay under Westminster’s wing.
As of the end of June 2014 all the major Opinion Polls have shown the Scottish public are set to reject independence at this juncture, despite a perceived closing of the gap from the YES camp and slightly different percentages overall.
YouGov say it’s 61% to 39%, though Survation score the contest much closer at 47% YES and 53% NO.
Although the lines are a little blurry, all political analysts appear unanimous that it’s still going to take a concerted swing to alter the outcome with just a few months to go.
However, as we saw in the swathe of support for UKIP at the recent European elections, politics is arguably in its most fluid state ever, especially where nationalism is concerned.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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