Is Farage in trouble in Thanet South?

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Over the past couple of weeks, the odds of Nigel Farage winning Thanet South have drifted from 1/3 to today’s 1/2. So, whilst he is still favourite, the betting market is becoming less certain that he’ll win. In particular, that’s been accompanied by an increase in the prospects for a Labour gain, the odds of that falling from 10/1 into 5/1.

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It’s hard to tell yet whether Farage’s performance in the debate will make any difference to his chances. The last poll of the constituency was in February and showed Farage on 39%, with an 11% lead over Labour just in second place.

Courtesy of The Spectator Coffee House Blog

Courtesy of The Spectator Coffee House Blog

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Matthew Shaddick

Matthew Shaddick has been Head of Poliical Betting at Ladbrokes since 2008. He's a writer and odds-maker with particular expertise in UK and US elections. Also known to dabble in music, literary and other out of the way betting markets. Sometimes issues tips on horse racing and football, which are best ignored.