— Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 25, 2014
That’s a pretty big bet for a by-election. Of course, Labour should hold this comfortably but UKIP and the BNP combined got about 10% of the vote in 2010 and UKIP did very well in local council elections there this year. With UKIP about to hold its conference and rumours of an second Tory MP defecting imminently, I don’t think an upset is impossible.
Clacton, on the other hand, doesn’t look like it will be a very interesting betting contest as far as the winner goes. Douglas Carswell is now 1/25 to win the seat for UKIP. We’ve now got a market on what vote share he will achieve on October 9th.