Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton is just 4/1 to drop out of the race for the White House before election day, following continued speculation over the Democratic nominee’s health.
Clinton was taken ill at a memorial to September 11 on Sunday, and later diagnosed with pneumonia.
The former Secretary of State subsequently cancelled a campaign visit to California, but some reports suggest she may be back on the road towards the end of the week.
Nevertheless, her odds of pulling out have been slashed from 10/1 into just 4s as we approach the final six weeks of campaigning.
No Presidential candidate in history has dropped out before election day, but in 68-year-old Clinton and 70-year-old Republican rival Donald Trump, America is set to vote between two of the oldest party nominees ever.
It’s the latest twist in a year full of surprising turns, and the headlines across the Pond are full of two things; 1) Clinton’s pneumonia, and 2) Clinton’s ‘deplorables’ comment.
In a speech at a fund-raiser on Friday, Clinton claimed that “you could put half of Trump’s supporters into what I call the basket of deplorables”.
Attacking voters rather than candidates and campaigns is a dangerous path to follow, and it has been widely judged as a political own-goal in the States.
Trump is still facing calls from some within the GOP to be replaced, with the bookies making it 12/1 that someone else runs for the Republicans in November.
It’s 5/1 however, that Clinton wins November’s vote by over 10 per cent, and despite a wobbly few days, is still very much the favourite to replace Barack Obama next January.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.