New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons: How the bookies are calling it

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If you’re a fan of NFL, then this is without question the biggest weekend of your year. New England Patriots will meet Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl LI at the NRG Stadium with the former looking to make it two wins in three years.

It’s likely you’ll already have your mind made up on who’ll come out on top in this clash. But if you’re still undecided, then we’re here to offer you a helping hand.

We caught up with our expert trader in US sports, Giles Roberts, to talk about where the money has gone so far, and who he thinks will have a say on where the Vince Lombardi Trophy will end up.

Over to you, Giles…

Expectations

I would expect this to be a very close game with both teams fairly evenly matched. The Patriots head into it as 4/6 favourites with the Falcons slight outsiders at 13/10.

But lest we forget the Denver Broncos went off at 15/8 to beat the Carolina Panthers, and we all know what happened there!

It may be slightly lower scoring than people are anticipating, and the current total points line of 58.5 seems a bit high in my opinion.

Top Bet

With that in mind, I’d say that backing the underdogs to win by 1-6 points is a decent investment at 7/2.

Another decent punt would be a Falcons Touchdown as the first scoring play at 9/4, and that’s purely based on their recent form. They’ve scored an opening drive TD in each of their last nine games, so that’d be one I’ll be thinking about backing.

Where has the money gone so far?

The early money has been for the Patriots – both on the point spread and the money line.

In fact, we’ve taken over double the amount on the Patriots as we have on the Falcons in the point spread market, and 74 per cent of all money line stakes have gone on Bill Belichick’s side.

Are you expecting the odds to change?

Not really. I can’t see much movement in the prices between now and kick-off, with the Patriots -3 currently at Evens and 4/6 on the money line.

Any word on a key player this weekend?

The Patriots will likely focus on taking away the Falcons’ number one wide receiver Julius Jones, who is arguably the best player in his position in the league right now.

And that may lead to opportunities for Taylor Gabriel and Mohamed Sanu, who are the other two main Falcons receivers.

Backing them in either TD markets or over in their player props markets may provide a generous return.

Click here for a full list of Super Bowl odds.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing

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