Reasonable things were expected of Genzy after returning from a 491-day layoff to make his British debut at Leicester in October last year and his run in fourth that day was expected to put him spot on for an eye-catching season.
Unfortunately, he has raced a further six times since and still awaits a first British success. However, Genzy’s moment in the limelight may well come in the Ebor at York, where he looks well overpriced at 33/1 to triumph.
Genzy was a noticeable fourth last time in the Group 3 Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury and the step up to 1m6f is sure to suit on the evidence of that run, when finishing ahead of former Group 2 winner Aiken and Ascot Gold Cup contender Model Pupil.
What is also noteworthy is that he has been dropped 2lb to a mark of 98 as a result, which is his lowest mark since heading over from France.
Genzy has run off 98 once before at Ascot in July and was only beaten by a head that day, despite seeing his charge for home blocked at the pivotal moment as the race began to quicken.
Back off this mark, he is sure to run his race, with the only obvious negative being whether he will benefit from a long enough break after his exploits at Newbury, with only seven days separating the two.
Looking at the trends associated with the Ebor winners of the last 10 years, Genzy fits in favourably in that six victors in the last decade have been five-year-olds and all of the last three have carried a weight between 8st10lb and 9st2lb.
Genzy is set to carry 9st exactly as things stand.
Furthermore, all of the last five have run off an official rating between 94 and 101, while the last four winners have been sent off at double-figure prices and in 2006 a 100/1 winner was celebrated with Mudawin’s victory.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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