Pick of the Pundits – Complexion looks a winner for in-form pundit

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Paul Castles of the Birmingham Mail is the tipster to be following at present and he could be on the verge of a fourth straight victory today with Complexion.

Castles has caught the eye of the pick of the pundits with three successive victories, which is the longest winning streak at present.

His latest triumph was with 6/1 chance Rough Rock yesterday and today he is expecting big things from Complexion at Yarmouth.

14:45 Yarmouth: Complexion – 5/2

Complexion is still to taste victory in her three career starts, but may well end this streak on her debut in handicap company.

Any horse representing the partnership of Sir Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore has to be respected, particularly a horse that is still open to some improvement.

The majority of the opposition to Complexion look exposed and her performances as a juvenile certainly suggest that she has the required talent to take a Class Five race of this nature.

She should certainly prove better than her current official rating of 68 in the future.

Her main challenge is likely to come from But Beautiful, but although she is reliable as an each-way selection, she looks too tightly held by the handicapper to win.

The most popular selection among the tipsters is Susan Stroman, who has been the focus of early support to shorten to 11/10 in the horse racing odds to win the 17:15 at Yarmouth.

Chris Goulding from the Sunday Express, John Martin from the Mail On Sunday, the Daily Mirror’s Newsboy and Racing Post Newmarket all fancy Susan Stroman today.

Susan Stroman should relish the soft ground at Yarmouth and won by a wide margin on the all-weather at Wolverhampton last week, when surging clear of the field up the home straight.

However, she will have to defy a 6lb penalty today and there are doubts over whether she will be similarly effective over a shorter trip.

Therefore, it may pay to take a slight chance on Astromagick or Talbot Green on his handicap debut.

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Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.