King Of Stats: Bet with your heart in Qipco Champion Sprint

With a total prize pot of a guaranteed £600,000 the speedsters will be out in force in the British Champions Sprint Stakes on British Champions Day.

The King Of Stats has poured through the history books to take notes of the most common trends relating to recent winners.

His results and who is considered the most likely victor in 2016 can be found below:

All of the last 14 winners had previously triumphed over 6f

Mecca’s Angel has spent the majority of his career competing over the ultimate speed test of 5f and has been beaten in both starts over 6f.

He is removed from the shortlist, alongside Librisa Breeze, who is down in trip to this distance for the first time.

13 of the last 14 winners had run within six week of Champions Day

Coming into the meeting having enjoyed an extended break is typically poor preparation for the Champion Sprint.

Those to enter without a recent run this time are Signs Of Blessing, who hasn’t been seen since early August, and Twilight Son, who last raced in July.

13 of the last 14 winners had already raced at least four times in the same season

There is just the one additional omission on the back of this statistic, with Shalaa having only run once since last September because of injury, but this did end in victory at Ascot at the start of October.

11 of the last 14 winners were aged either three or four

Jack Dexter is now getting a bit long in the tooth at the age of seven and so is discarded as a potential winner.

10 of the last 14 winners had previously tasted victory at Group level

Another three leave the shortlist here with All of Don’t Touch’s three defeats arriving when stepped up into Group company, while Growl and Mr Lupton have never won at a level above handicap class.

10 of the last 14 winners had finished in the first four in their last start

This bad news for Mobsta, who was only sixth in the above-mentioned race won by Shalaa, and Donjuan Triumphant, who was well down the field in a Haydock Group 1.

Only four of the last 14 winners also triumphed on their most recent start

Of the remaining three horses to adhere to the first five stats, Brando and favourite Quiet Reflection leave here following their successes last time out.

This leaves The Tin Man as the most likely winner, having finished second to Quiet Reflection in the Group 1 Sprint Cup at Haydock on soft ground he disliked and the eventual winner relished.

Conditions are currently classified as good at Ascot.

The Tin Man is 6/1 to win the Qipco Champion Sprint.


Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.