Glorious Goodwood Exchange Stakes: King of Stats’ big-price find

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The King of Stats has been handed a worthy task in whittling away the field ahead of Glorious Goodwood’s Exchange Stakes handicap, the first race up on Channel 4’s third-day coverage.

Much of the betting goes against the tried and tested trends, suggesting there’s plenty of value to be had.

Read on for the regal reveal:

12 of the past 13 winners had raced within the four weeks prior

This stat pushes out a surprising number of runners, with Sir Michael Stoute’s Stargazer, the 9/2 favourite, falling at the first due to a three-month absence.

Outsider Red Rannagh hasn’t been seen since January, meaning he joins the jolly on the scrap heap alongside Zhui Feng, Speed Company, Goodwood Zodiac, Top Beak and Sabre Squadron.

10 of the last 13 winners carried 9-0 or less in weight

Just seven left from the remaining 10 after this, as fancied heavy-weights Ode To Evening and Banksea bow out.

With less to lug around the West Sussex track, Champagne City, Carrington, High Shields, Scarlet Dragon, Dwight D, You’re Hired and Abareeq soldier on.

Eight of the last 13 winners finished in the top three last time out

At least some form going into Glorious Goodwood bodes well, with Carrington and High Shields’ fourth-place finishes over the past month tending not to be enough, however…

Only two of the last 13 winners won their previous race

Last-time out victories are not a particularly good look in the Exchange Stakes, so Scarlet Dragon and You’re Hired exit stage left at this point.

Four of the last 13 winners were trained by Mark Johnston

Including two of the past three, and the Yorkshire-based handler has four in this, including Champagne City and Abareeq.

Of that pair, the former gets the nod due to an official rating of 91, putting him within the 91-99 range of 11 of the past 13 winners, while the latter’s 77 is somewhat lacking.

Glorious Goodwood Exchange Stakes King of Stats: Champagne City @ 20/1

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Iain Houten

Iain has been contributing pieces to various websites on an array of subjects, including sports, politics and art, for over four years. Despite blue being his favourite colour, the teams he supports all wear red.