Deauville and his chances of Epsom Derby success

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Considering Deauville was only beaten by a neck by Wings Of Desire in the Dante last time, there is a fair argument that his odds are on the long side when considering the Derby.

Workforce showed in 2010 that a horse is capable of the required improvement to win a Derby after finishing as bridesmaid in the Dante, especially if the race is run differently.

Deauville ran handy throughout the Dante off a fast pace that suited those held up towards the rear and was making his seasonal reappearance against some opposition who already had the fitness on board from a previous run in the campaign.

Taking this into consideration, Deauville could be deemed overpriced at 12/1 compared to Wings Of Desire at a third of those odds at 4/1.

Furthermore, trainer Aidan O’Brien has been responsible for three of the last four Derby winners and he does have a track record for winning Classics with runners not considered his first string by the betting. Qualify’s Oaks success at 50/1 last year is a case in point.

There is every possibility that the step up to 1m4f will bring additional improvement for Deauville, while there is little doubt that simply having run in the Dante will have enhanced his fitness for Epsom.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.