Get the latest insight from Dan Skelton’s racing blog

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Ayr

1.45 – Ashoka

He has got very little weight in this. He won last time but I think it’s fair to say if Diego Du Charmil stood up at Ascot, he probably wouldn’t have. He’ll like this type of track and the fast-run race.

There are plenty of positives in this race for him. He has to take another step forward but I’ve been happy with him since Ascot.

2.20 – Born Survivor

We are going up in trip with Born Survivor. He is a past point-to-point winner and we are trying a very new trip.

He has been a little disappointing for us but the ability is there. If this new trip does the job, he would looked fairly treated.

2.20 – Petrou

He had a great summer last year and actually ended up running really well on his final start at Chepstow last autumn.

He was out of his depth and the ground didn’t suit him at Kempton the other day so he never even got going.

Hopefully that run will have blown away any cobwebs and this trip will be much more like it and the ground will be perfect for him. He is in at the deep end though.

2.55 – Ch’Tibello

He won this race two years ago. He is carrying top weight which is never ideal but he does bring the graded form to the race.

He has to give weight away to a lot of horses, who have probably been planning this race all season or horses that didn’t expect to get as much weight off the top weight.

It’s possible to win because he’s a good horse but it won’t be easy with top weight.

3.30 – Cobra De Mai

He doesn’t come out best of the numbers here but he has been very consistent since he’s gone chasing. He has a progressive profile and I was delighted with his run the other day.

He just didn’t have the best of jumps at the last in a slow run race and he got caught on the line. I think he’s taken a good step forward.

We went for this race instead of the handicap and I think he has a little shout.

4.05 – Scottish Grand National

Work Du Bretueau

He should like the ground and the trip. I am very happy with the horse and I think he has taken a big step forward from his hurdle run and obviously he needed to.

I didn’t know an awful lot about him when we had him back for that hurdle run.

This is a massive step up for him here but he will be happier over fences and he could run well if he sees out the trip. He is going to be a big price though.

Get On the Yager

I thought he ran quite well for three parts of the race in the Midlands National. He got stuck in the ground under a big weight turning in.

I feel he did stay on a bit which suggests that he will stay the trip. Better ground won’t be to his disliking, and he’s got less weight here, and I think he has a fair each-way chance.

4.40 – Whatduhavtoget

She was second in the race last year and gets a real low weight this time. Drying ground is perfect, as is the track and trip.

Hopefully she can go one better than last year. Her form hasn’t quite been there this year but I don’t think she’s less of a mare; we just haven’t quite got the ball rolling.

5.15 – Comrade Conrad

This is a conditional jockeys’ race for really inexperienced lads. He ran really well in a juvenile handicap the last day.

I think he wants the step up in trip and this will really suit him. There is no pressure on the horse or the rider but if everything goes to plan, he could be a contender.

5.50 – Montego Grey

He has shown plenty at home. It’s a long way to bring a bumper horse so I’m not saying he’s going to go out there and win because I think he’s in about as deep as you can put one!

However given the ground that we’ve had all winter, I have to move along and run some of these bumper horses. It’s a nice track to run him and he will learn a lot.

He hasn’t had the pressure put to him at home but he has shown us enough at home to make us think he will go well.

Sunday – Stratford

2.00 – Savello

He hasn’t won for a while so he gets in this confined race. On his old form he wouldn’t be dangerous; he’d be a formality!

He is going up a bit in trip which I don’t think is a negative. He is a hard horse to predict nowadays but it’s a possibility as at home he appears to still have what it takes to win.

2.35 -Zamparelli

He ran really badly over hurdles last time and I don’t know why.

He ran well over fences the time before so we are back to fences.

3.10 – The Last Bar

She ran really well at Fakenham and we have been waiting for the ground to dry.

She loves the big trip and I can her being really competitive.

4.00 – Marley Firth

He has to find numbers with Paul Nicholls’ Secret Investor. He won first time up but we feel like we haven’t had the best of luck with him since those first couple of runs.

This is a good step up in trip, on better ground, and we are doing things a little differently with him. I have a feeling we haven’t seen the best of him.

5.40 – Elton Des Mottes

Like I said with Montego Grey, there is no pressure with these bumper horses. They’ve had a long, hard winter. They are all running a month later than I would have wished because of the ground.

He will go here, improve, and learn. He’s a nice horse. I can see this horse going to two-and-a-half miles very quickly. He’s a real galloper, but has shown well at home.

Dan

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