Minella Class should be worth considering for a victory at the Cheltenham Festival, based on the success of previous winners of the Tolworth Hurdle.
In the last 15 runnings of the novice contest at Sandown, six have gone on to land victory at Cheltenham, with Minella Class driven out after the final flight to beat Megastar last month.
Nicky Henderson’s six-year-old holds two entries for the Festival at present, as he features in the Cheltenham betting for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle and Neptune Novices’ Hurdle.
Each of these two Cheltenham races have both been won by victors of the Tolworth Hurdle on two occasions since 1990, with Noland and Forest Sun landing the Supreme Novices’, while French Holly and Monsignor have tasted success in the Neptune Novices’.
Meanwhile, only Leopardstown’s Deloitte Hurdle has matched the number of winners thrown up by the Tolworth at the Cheltenham Festival since 1990.
Minella Class is perhaps most likely to run in the Neptune Novices’ Hurdle and is 12/1 to secure victory, while he is 20/1 in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle betting.
This choice is likely as the horse is perhaps better suited to the longer trip, with the two miles of the Supreme Novices’ seemingly the bare minimum that he would need.
Furthermore, Minella Class’ proven stamina could also come into play if the ground is soft at Cheltenham as he has performed well on testing ground in the past.
One of the troubles that Minella Class may face in the Neptune Novices’ Hurdle is Oscars Well, who happened to win the Deloitte Hurdle this season.
Oscars Well is 5/1 in the Cheltenham odds after winning on all of his last three starts, which makes him joint favourite with Bobs Worth.
A £25 stake on Minella Class winning the Neptune Novices’ Hurdle would return £300. New customers can sign up here for a free £25 bet.