Cue Card may be many people’s Cheltenham Festival banker bet, but connections of the horse are delaying their Cheltenham Festival despite their horse being the short-priced favourite for the Supreme Novices’.
Cue Card has entries for the Champion Hurdle and the Supreme Novices’ at the Cheltenham Festival, and while it would seem Cue Card is the horse to beat in the Supreme Novices’ – he is the 2/1 favourite to win – owners of the horse want to run him in the more prestigious Champion Hurdle.
Considering only 3 of the last 15 horses to start the Supreme Novices’ at 3/1 or shorter in the betting have gone on to win, the owners may have a point.
Cue Card looked impressive in defeat but also like he needed another season before challenging for the Champion Hurdle having been beaten by Champion Hurdle contender Menorah (4/1 to win the Champion Hurdle) at Cheltenham on his last start.
That defeat saw Cue Card’s Champion Hurdle odds lengthen out to 16/1, but any horse that can hold his own against the best National Hunt hurdlers at the tender age of five, should surely dominate a novice field at Cheltenham.
But the Cheltenham Festival trends are against Cue Card and it may be worth taking on the short-priced favourite should he go for the Supreme Novices’.
12 of the last 14 winners won last time out and 10 of the last 11 winners ran in the last 45 days.
But the stat that really shows up the task that Cue Card faces is that only six favourites in the last 31 runnings have gone on to win and no favourite has won in the last six years.
Zaidpour is next best in the Supreme Novices’ betting at 7/1 and there is plenty of value to be found by taking on Cue Card.