JB Holmes looks the value bet at 33/1 in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am as he is not only in decent recent form, but also possesses the attributes that could lead to success in the PGA Tour event.
The tournament is played across three courses on the Monterey Peninsula – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and MPCC Shore – and was almost won 12 months ago by Holmes, as he finished runner-up to Dustin Johnson.
Meanwhile, his recent form has also been good as he finished in a share of fifth on his latest start at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.
Among the characteristics that lend themselves well to a decent finish in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am are experience of the courses on the California coast, the ability to hit greens in regulation and long distances off the tee.
Holmes ticks all three of these boxes and currently ranks sixth in the PGA Tour statistics in terms of average driving distance.
This could be highly beneficial as many of the par-five holes that will be played are reachable in two shots by the longest hitters.
Holmes is unlikely to have too much difficulty with this and ranked fifth on the PGA Tour in 2010 in terms of firing birdies or better on par-five holes.
Furthermore, to witness success there is every reason to suggest that a player will need to go low in terms of scoring, with a double-digit score likely to be needed.
This will put some added pressure on finding the green with approach shots to provide ample birdie opportunities and Holmes fired more birdies than any other player at the recent Phoenix Open.
Another reason why Holmes appeals is that he has finished in the money in all of his four previous appearances in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am.
A £25 stake on Nick Watney winning the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am would return £400. New customers can sign up here for a free £25 bet.