Brazil v Mexico tips: Last 16 clash could go the distance in Samara

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After a weekend of exhilarating and nail-biting last 16 ties, the World Cup action continues apace as pre-tournament favourites Brazil face Mexico in Samara.

Brazil eventually won Group E, despite underwhelming displays against Switzerland and Costa Rica. Meanwhile, Juan Carlos Osorio’s men took second spot in Group F with six points.

Previous meetings have been pretty well-matched, with Selecao boasting a slight edge. They’ve won two of the last four clashes, with one Mexican win and a 0-0 group stage draw in Brazil four years ago.

None of those clashes have seen more than two goals netted, and it’s 20/23 for Under 2.5 Goals in normal time here.

In the match betting, Brazil are 1/2 in 90 minutes. Meanwhile, it’s 6/1 for a Mexican triumph, while 3/1 says this one reaches extra-time.

Each of Sunday’s two last 16 games finished 1-1 in normal time. There’s 7/1 for another 1-1 draw in this clash, with the stakes extremely high.

In the Anytime Scorer market, Neymar at 19/20 is the only man at odds-on. Javier Hernandez at 14/5 is the Mexicans’ best shot.

Paulinho could also be of interest. The Barcelona ace’s goal against Serbia took his Selecao total to eight goals in his last 19 caps. He’s 10/3 to find the net in Samara.

El Tri tend to be strong starters. Three of their last four goals have hit the net before the 35-minute mark. It’s a sizeable 18/1 for Half-Time/Full-Time: Mexico/Draw.

So, what happens if this game goes the distance?

If it goes to penalties, the Brazilians have the pedigree. They’ve won three of their four World Cup shoot-outs, while Mexico have endured heartbreak in both of theirs.

It’s 12/1 for Brazil to triumph on pens once again.

However it happens, the focus for each side will simply be to qualify. Brazil are 2/9 to make it through, with Mexico 3/1 for a quarter-final spot.

Click here for the latest Brazil v Mexico odds.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing

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Dave Burin

Dave graduated with an MA in English Literature at Durham University, and worked in marketing before joining the Ladbrokes News team. A Man United fan and avid groundhopper, he’s also an ardent follower of Rugby League. You can usually find him at a ground near you, clutching a big cup of tea.