Aguero’s scoring return bodes well for World Cup Golden Boot

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The Barcelona duo of Lionel Messi and Neymar may lead the way in the betting for who will claim the Golden Boot at the World Cup in Brazil, but the smart money is on Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

Priced at 16/1 to be named top scorer at the tournament this summer, the Argentine has enjoyed an excellent start to the current Premier League campaign, with 13 goals in 15 top flight appearances.

The 25-year-old was among the scorers once again at the weekend, adding the third goal in City’s 4-2 win over Cardiff – his second in as many games since a recent return from injury.

Aguero has been in similarly scintillating form on the continent too, with six goals in five Champions League appearances for the club and there is little to suggest he cannot replicate this form in Brazil, with Argentina facing a relatively straightforward set of group fixtures.

A group opener against Bosnia-Herzegovina could prove tricky, but the forward will have fond memories of his previous encounter with the European nation – a friendly played last September which Argentina won 2-0 with a brace from Aguero.

And with La Albiceleste facing subsequent games against lowly opposition in the form of a youthful Nigeria team and footballing minnows Iran, there should be plenty of opportunities for the City man to build up a healthy tally.

When Stephen Keshi took charge of Nigeria back in 2011, he took a long-term approach to squad selection, favouring youth over experience, with veterans like Joseph Yobo jettisoned in favour of fresher alternatives.

That approach led to African Nations Cup glory last year, but it also means Nigeria go into this tournament with an inexperienced defensive line up, whose vulnerability was demonstrated at the Confederations Cup, with Keshi’s side conceding a shock goal to part-timers Tahiti, as well as Spain and Uruguay.

Iran, meanwhile, qualified with wins over the likes of Qatar, Lebanon and Indonesia among others and could find it tough going when trying to contain the threat of Aguero.

And the goals could continue into the second round for the Blues forward, with Argentina on course to face Switzerland in the second round, provided they top their group.

With the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo also on at 14/1 but facing a trickier set of fixtures, it’s tough to look past Aguero as the shrewd bet in the Golden Boot market.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Jack Beresford

Jack Beresford is a content writer with over five years of experience in writing about sport and betting, including a two-year spell with Axonn Media. Contributes articles to HereIsTheCity and Lad Bible, while previous credits include Bwin, FTB Pro, Bleacher Report and the QBE rugby. Avid follower of tennis, rugby union, motorsport and football, Jack also writes about poker for Cardspiel.com alongside Guardian journalist Dominic Wells.