In the last four Premier League seasons one of the teams to have been in the relegation zone at the start of October have gone down and Wigan look set to continue this record in the current campaign.
Bolton, Blackburn and Wigan currently occupy the three relegation places and although they all look worthy relegation candidates based on current form, history suggests that two will escape the drop.
It is Bolton who currently prop up the table, but their disappointing start can be largely excused because of the difficulty of their fixture list.
In their opening seven games, Bolton have already faced, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Arsenal, arguably the best five teams in the division.
With a host of far more winnable fixtures now awaiting in the run-up to Christmas, it would be no surprise to see Bolton gradually climb the table and eventually finish comfortably clear of the relegation places.
Blackburn’s odds are 1/1 to be relegated and they will be the team largely fancied to face the drop.
Steve Kean looks to be on the brink of losing his job and this may be the best scenario for Blackburn, so that they can appoint a manager with far better experience of coping in a relegation scrap and getting the best out of his squad.
Blackburn certainly have the squad to survive, especially if they can keep the likes of David Dunn, Scott Dann, Chris Samba and Yakubu fit.
Whereas Wigan, who currently sit 18th in the standings, arguably have the weakest squad of the trio on paper.
They look short of pace in defence, without a regular goal scorer in attack and shy of any real creativity in midfield.
Without Charles N’Zogbia they are much weaker than last season, when they only managed to stay up on the final day after securing a fine run of results in the final month of the campaign.
At 11/10 in the Premier League odds, Wigan are great value to be relegated, especially as there is the argument that they have been sitting ducks to go down for at least three seasons.