In cricket the term “flat track bully” is used to describe a batsman who succeeds only when the conditions are easy. When Southampton travel to White Hart Lane to face a Spurs side with a point to prove, they’ll be exposed as the Premier League’s version.
Spurs’ odds of 21/20 to win a home game goes some way to show how tough times are in the white half of north London currently, but Southampton are by no means guaranteed victory at a 13/5 price, with the draw a 12/5 shot.
Nobody can deny that the Saints have been the Premier League’s surprise package this season, but that has been built almost exclusively on wins over the league’s lesser lights.
All bar one victory of theirs has come against teams from 13th place or lower in the league table, and they’ve managed just six paltry points in the games against teams higher than them in the standings.
So, even though Tottenham are struggling, especially at home, the fact that Mauricio Pochettino’s south coast club rarely muster a performance when challenged by the big boys means it’s the Lilywhites who should be picked for victory.
Don’t just back the win though, combine it with a game of under 2.5 goals at 10/3 for a really handsome windfall.
The reason for this lies in Spurs’ lack of goals at the Lane, where they’ve managed just 16 in 15 matches.
There’s no danger of Southampton ruining the bet either, as they haven’t scored more than one goal on the road to a top seven club all season and, considering Tim Sherwood’s last three Premier League home wins were by scores of 1-0 (twice) and 2-0, it makes perfect sense that a Tottenham win/under 2.5 goal-combo is the way to go.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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