Impossible to back Wigan at lowest price of season to beat Swansea

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There are undeniably many reasons why Wigan are fancied to beat Swansea, but the fact remains that all of the value lies with the visitors in the double chance market at the DW Stadium.

Wigan have only been odds-on to win one Premier League game this season when 10/11 to defeat Reading at home in November, but somehow they are even shorter at 4/5 to beat Swansea, which looks far too short.

All of the talk at the real business end of the season is that this is traditionally the time that Wigan begin to fire on all cylinders and take three points more often than not.

Throw in that Swansea are winless in seven Premier League games and will be without top-scorer Michu because of a hamstring injury for their trip to Wigan and this is a big boost to the chances of the hosts.

However, despite all of the talk revolving around Wigan, they have triumphed in only one of their last five in the top flight and taken maximum points in only nine of their 35 games this season.

This is not a record that inspires confidence in backing a team at 4/5.

Furthermore, Swansea are unbeaten in their away games with the other six clubs aside from Wigan in the bottom seven of the Premier League standings, winning at Newcastle and QPR.

In fact, in their 13 games so far with opposition currently in the bottom seven, Michael Laudrup’s men have been beaten only once, which was a 4-3 home reverse to Norwich.

Therefore, the 1/1 offered on Swansea to either win or draw at the DW Stadium certainly warrants a second consideration.

Alternatively, Swansea are 11/5 in the draw no bet market, meaning that if the game finishes all square then stakes will be refunded, with a straight victory for the Swans priced at 10/3 and the draw at 13/5.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.