Chelsea to shade a high-scoring thriller with Aston Villa

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Chelsea may have enjoyed some resounding maulings over Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge in recent seasons, but given that they cannot be classified among Jose Mourinho’s favourite opposition, another is unlikely to follow this season.

In the last four seasons, Villa have left Stamford Bridge on the receiving ends 7-1 and 8-0 hammerings, while on a more positive note, in the last six campaigns they have also secured a 3-1 success, alongside 3-3 and 4-4 draws.

The common theme running through this is that this fixture breeds goals and so the 29/20 that over 3.5 goals are netted could prove a decent price.

This was a bet that correctly earmarked in Villa’s opener at Arsenal, but expecting a second surprise away win in a matter of days may be too much to expect of Paul Lambert’s men. It is 17/2 that Aston Villa beat Chelsea.

A Villa victory would be more plausible if this fixture was taking place at Villa Park, which is a ground where Mourinho has never left with a Premier League victory in four attempts.

His record at Stamford Bridge against Villa is better with two wins in three, but interestingly, neither of these triumphs came by a margin of more than a single goal.

Therefore, Aston Villa’s price of 4/5 to win if given a two-goal handicap may be worth taking note of.

The correct score market is of additional interest, especially the 25/1 on Chelsea winning 3-2, which would promote them to the head of the Premier League standings with six points from six.

Villa managed to score at least twice in eight Premier League away games last season and their three goals at the Emirates is already more than they managed on road trips to the top five combined in the previous campaign.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.