St Andrews is the ground that has produced the fewest goals in the Premier League this season, and Saturday’s tie between Birmingham City and Stoke City looks destined for the final spot on Match of the Day.
Both sides have fired in the fewest shots on goal this season, Birmingham have managed 80 to Stoke’s 91, and under 1.5 goals in the game at 2/1 looks the pick of the betting market.
Birmingham are the 11/8 favourites to beat Stoke on Saturday and considering Alex McLeish’s side have lost just two games at St Andrews since October 2009, Birmingham are the team most likely to sneak the three points.
But seven home draws this season is the reason Birmingham are flirting with relegation and the draw may hold the most value at 9/4.
Stoke are 2/1 to win and have drawn the joint-fewest matches in the Premier League this season, but Birmingham’s home record means Stoke are up against the odds.
A repeat of last season’s goalless draw is priced at a massive 8/1 and punters should fill their boots.
If anyone is going to sneak a win, it will be Birmingham and a 1-0 win for the Blues is priced at 7/1 and Cameron Jerome has scored in each of his two Premier League appearances against Stoke.
Jerome is 6/1 to score the first and what is likely to be the only goal and the 4/1 for a half-time draw and a full-time Birmingham win is tempting.
The second half is 12/5 to produce the first goal and 1/1 to be the half that produces the most goals.
Birmingham ended a run of nine games without a clean sheet with the 1-0 victory at West Ham and they are 2/1 to keep a clean sheet.
A £10 stake on Roger Johnson scoring first and Birmingham winning 1-0 would return £1,000. New customers can sign up here for a free bet worth £25.