Wales vs England – Struggling hosts won’t be embarrassed

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The knives are once again out for Fabio Capello as he takes his England side to Cardiff. Will the media be given further reason to criticise the Italian tactician on John Terry’s return as captain?

Match odds

You’d be forgiven for thinking that England’s Euro 2012 qualifying campaign was going miserably given Capello’s treatment in the press but the Three Lions remain unbeaten and are 2/5 to deliver a third straight away win.

Wales meanwhile are bottom of Group G after three successive defeats and any hopes that Gary Speed would prove their saviour were harmed when they lost 3-0 to the Republic of Ireland in his first game.

The hosts have lost four competitive home ties since beating Liechtenstein 2-0 in October 2008 and eight of their last ten against England in Cardiff, which is why they are 7/1 outsiders, with the draw 7/2.

Other markets

The statistics don’t make for good reading for Wales fans but while a defeat looks highly likely, don’t expect them to be humiliated.

Four of their last seven setbacks have come by one goal, while four of the last five meetings between the two neighbouring nations have been decided by a one-goal margin too.

A wager on England triumphing by that slenderest of margins is therefore worth considering at 5/2, as is under 2.5 goals at 5/6, having been a feature of five of their last six encounters. It’s 5/1 that Capello’s side win 1-0.

Wayne Rooney is the best bet to be the visitors’ hero having scored six in 11 appearances for Manchester United since February and is 4/1 to grab the opener. It’s 16/1 that he fires the only goal in a 1-0 victory.

A £20 stake on Rooney delivering in a 1-0 win would provide a £320 profit. New customers can sign up here to get £60 in free bets.

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