Wales vs England – History suggests betting on under 2.5 goals

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The rivalry may be intense and the fans may be passionate, but games between Wales and England hardly ever live up to the billing.

The last three ties in Wales have all finished 1-0 and a third 1-0 victory for England to stretch the run to four games is the joint-favoured result at 5/1.

2-0 is also available at 5/1 as punters realise not to get carried away in the hype and with eight clean sheets for England in the last 11 games, England look an incredible price at 6/5 to win to nil.

With John Terry re-instated as captain, and with Wales boasting a front line that doesn’t include one current Premier League striker, the English back line should have a comfortable time on Saturday.

There have been 23 ties between the two countries since England lifted the World Cup in 1966 and only 10 of those have produced more than 2.5 goals in the game which leaves the 4/6 for under 2.5 goals looking a lot better than the 2/5 for England to win.

While the fans and media may not like it, Fabio Capello will be happy to come away from this with a narrow victory and the three points are the most important thing in what will be a hostile Millennium Stadium atmosphere.

Wayne Rooney is guaranteed to start but there’s still a debate on who will partner the Manchester United forward up front with Andy Carroll, Darren Bent, Jermain Defoe and Peter Crouch all in contention.

The first goalscorer betting doesn’t help with Carroll, Crouch and Defoe all 9/2 to get the first goal while Bent out on his own at 5/1.

If rumours are to be believed Frank Lampard could find himself warming the bench but at 6/1 to score the first goal, the betting suggests Lampard will be fully involved.

A £20 stake on Frank Lampard scoring the first goal would return £140. New customers can sign up here to get £60 in free bets.

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Robbie Morris

Robbie studied sports journalism at the University of Gloucestershire, an establishment chosen for its proximity to Cheltenham racecourse, where he was a season ticket holder. Upon graduation, Robbie was a contributor to GolfPunk, a national magazine aimed at ridding golf of its traditionalist image, before joining the news.ladbrokes team.