Given Oldham’s general shocking recent form and their inability to win at home to the better sides in League One this season, expecting anything other than a Liverpool victory in this FA Cup tie appears a major mistake.
Even if there are over 50 places between the pair in terms of league standings, backing Liverpool at 1/4 for an away game is hard to get particularly excited about.
However, the price is slightly justified by Oldham’s recent troubles, as they have taken just one point from a possible 24 in League One.
Furthermore, they have lost four on the bounce at home, including all of their fixtures at Boundary Park all season against opposition to start the weekend in the top eight of the league standings.
A penchant for letting in two goals in each game has been a common theme among their recent results, which has occurred six times in the previously mentioned eight-game stretch.
Liverpool are 4/11 to repeat the dose by scoring over 1.5 goals.
They managed this in the FA Cup meeting at Anfield last season, when running out 5-1 winners, although it should be added that two of these goals arrived in the final two minutes.
Taking everything into consideration, perhaps the best bet on offer for this cup tie is in the Total Result market, with 7/10 the price that Liverpool win a game that features over 2.5 goals.
Even if Luis Suarez is given a rare game off, it is nigh on impossible to find fault in this bet.
Oldham have won two of their last four fixtures with Premier League opposition and did spring a big surprise when beating Nottingham Forest in round three.
It is 9/1 that they end Liverpool’s FA Cup hopes with a home win, while the draw that will bring a rewarding replay at Anfield is available at 5/1.
All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date