Arsenal v Swansea: Welsh side great value for win

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Swansea’s failure to put Arsenal away at the Liberty Stadium will not be of much concern to them ahead of this FA Cup third round replay given their excellent record in the capital this season.

There’s sure to be plenty of takers on the Swans’ massive 5/1 price to claim the spoils at the Emirates for the second time this season, after recording a 2-0 win there earlier in the campaign.

Their win at Chelsea in the Capital One Cup semi final first-leg last time week was the fourth time they’ve celebrated a victory on their way home from five trips to London and the uninspiring Gunners represent very beatable opponents.

Not since 1996 have Arsenal fallen at the first FA Cup hurdle but their 8/15 match betting price remains one to avoid.

Michael Laudrup’s men have kept four clean sheets from their previous six away days and with the Gunners not looking themselves in the final third of late, backing another away day shut out for the south Wales side will ensure a tidy profit at 6/1.

Arsenal have conceded the bulk of their Premier League goals in the first half of games; 58 per cent of their goals against have come before the interval. This deems the 3/1 that says Swansea will net more in the first half than the second an excellent bet, as is the same price for the Swans to break the first half deadlock.

Of the six goals that this pair have served up in their two previous matches this season, five of them have been registered in the final 10 minutes. The odds on another goal being scored in the closing stages of the game here have been trimmed as a result but, at 4/5, a sufficiently sizeable stake should see punters handsomely rewarded.

Don’t let the fact that these teams’ two meetings this year have yielded six goals dupe you into backing over 2.5 to be scored here at 8/13, however.

Goals tend to come as standard when the pair collide in Wales but neither of their north London encounters have surpassed this mark. Ladbrokes are offering a beefy (considering the market) 6/5 for the goals total to fall short of the aforementioned mark and such generosity should be ceased upon.

All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date

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