Inter’s recent record over AC Milan spells end for Allegri

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All eyes will be on Massimiliano Allegri when the first Milan derby of the season kicks-off at the San Siro this weekend, with the AC Milan boss likely to face the boot should Inter score another victory over their city rivals.

And the bad news for the Diavolo boss and fans of the Rossoneri is that recent history suggests the 6/4 offered by Ladbrokes on a win for the Nerazzurri should be backed, with Inter claiming victory in three of the last four meetings between the two sides.

Allegri is under mounting pressure at Milan, with the club heading into this fixture off the back of just one win from their last eight Serie A games and amid reports linking Andre Villas-Boas to his job.

It has been draws, rather than defeats which have been the undoing of the seven-time European Cup winners, with AC held in four of their previous five league games.

Ladbrokes is currently offering odds of 23/10 on Sunday’s clash ending in yet another stalemate, but given Inter’s superior recent record, even that could be beyond Milan.

Walter Mazzarri’s side were unlucky to lose 4-2 to Napoli in a closely fought contest last weekend, but could take full advantage of their city rivals weakened state here.

Two of the Nerazzurri’s previous three wins over Milan have come by a scoreline of 1-0 and with odds of 8/1 offered on a repeat, a spot of déjà vu isn’t out of the question.

Chelsea target Fredy Guarin has opened the scoring in two of Inter’s last four competitive games and the 9/1 on the Colombian scoring first here certainly tempts, though the more reliable bet remains top scorer Rodrigo Palacio, with the Argentine goal machine on at 5/1.

Any hopes Milan have of winning, something which is priced at 7/4, could rest on the shoulders of Mario Balotelli. The former Manchester City man has three goals in his last four for the Rossoneri and is on at 5/1 to get the first goal of the game.

Regardless of the result, goals could well be at a premium with three of the last four contests between the sides featuring two or fewer with 5/6 offered on under 2.5 total goals.

Anything less than a Milan win however, could bring the curtain down on Allegri’s time at the club.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Jack Beresford

Jack Beresford is a content writer with over five years of experience in writing about sport and betting, including a two-year spell with Axonn Media. Contributes articles to HereIsTheCity and Lad Bible, while previous credits include Bwin, FTB Pro, Bleacher Report and the QBE rugby. Avid follower of tennis, rugby union, motorsport and football, Jack also writes about poker for Cardspiel.com alongside Guardian journalist Dominic Wells.