Cardiff may have won a crucial battle at the top of the Championship last time out but their away form is as poor as their home form is superb and that’s why it’s worth backing Barnsley to get the better of them at Oakwell.
At 9/4, the Tykes head our Championship treble this weekend – we’ve cut it down by a team so perhaps we’ll have a result for a change – that features victories for Brighton and Birmingham and pays out at a sizeable 22/1.
Barnsley to beat Cardiff @ 9/4
The Red Dragons have been defeated in four of their last five ventures outside of Wales with their only win in that period coming at out of sorts Ipswich.
They’ve shipped 10 goals in their last three away days and squandered winning positions in their last two.
Barnsley haven’t been great in front of their own fans this year, winning just two of eight games and none of their last six. They’ve not scored more than one goal in any game either, but Cardiff’s defence goes to pieces when asked to play away and Barnsley have a great chance of ending their Oakwell hoodoo here.
Brighton to beat Bolton @ 6/5
After their customary autumn implosion, Brighton look to have turned the corner in recent weeks; they’ve gone unbeaten in five games and picked up two wins in their last three.
Bolton are without defeat in their four games under the guidance of Dougie Freedman, though the Scot has only steered them to maximum points once.
The Trotters have lost five of their eight away fixtures as they’ve struggled to acclimatise to life in the Championship and the Seagulls are well placed to inflict the first loss of their new regime.
Birmingham to beat Derby @ 11/5
Derby’s recent away day woes could see them suffering from a hangover at Pride Park when Birmingham visit and Lee Clark’s underachieving charges will be on-hand to capitalise.
Three away defeats on the spin are bound to affect confidence in the Rams’ camp and great home form is invariably hampered by an inability to get points on the road.
Having lost just one of their last six away matches, the Blues clearly prefer to play anywhere but St Andrews and will look to take advantage of any Derby jitters here.
All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date