Going with form and backing PSG, Manchester City, Bayern Munich and AC Milan to win in the Champions League is a tempting prospect with Ladbrokes offering huge odds of over 34/1.
However, a closer study of the form shows that coupling these outcomes with an under/over 2.5 goals bet in the bookmaker’s exclusive The Total Result market could pay dividends, with a stake of just £10 returning a whopping £3,836.16, in our Champions League acca.
Leverkusen are a tough team to beat on their day but go into this tie having lost three of their last four games in all competitions .
Sami Hyypia’s side have lost their last two at home, while opponents PSG are in rude health on the road.
Laurent Blanc’s men are unbeaten in seven games away from the Parc des Princes in all competitions and have lost just one of seven as the away side in the Champions League.
The French side should definitely be backed here and with both sides scoring for fun over 2.5 has to be the selection in the over /under market.
Leverkusen’s last six games have seen three or more goals, with 12 coming in their last three alone, while PSG’s have seen over 2.5 in four of their last five away in the competition.
Defeat to Chelsea at the Etihad recently proved that City are not infallible in front of their home fans but with that win the only success for a visiting team in 23 attempts Manuel Pellegrini’s men are not far off.
The Citizens are similarly solid in this tournament, having lost just one of their last nine on home soil.
Barcelona, meanwhile, have won just two of five in all competitions and have won just one of six as the away side in the Champions League.
The La Liga giants have failed to win their last five games against English opposition and that trend will continue against free-scoring City.
With the hosts seeing 17 goals in their last three games and over 2.5 in four of their last five in European competition, over appears to be the pick here again.
While the first two games promise a glut of goals, Arsenal’s stingy defence means converted chances could be rare when Munich head to the Emirates.
The Gunners have kept 11 clean sheets in an unbeaten 13-game sequence on home soil, with five of their last seven producing fewer than 2.5 goals.
So, while goals will be hard to come by, the Bundesliga leaders will be confident of success, given their away record in the competition.
Of their last nine away games in the tournament, Bayern have won eight and drawn one. Pep Guardiola’s men have lost just once in 21 away games in all competitions and will improve that record in north London.
Milan may be in patchy form at present having drawn, lost and won their last three games but Clarence Seedorf’s men are frighteningly good at home and always able to rise to the big occasion.
AC have lost just one of nine at home in all competitions and one of 10 as hosts in the Champions League.
And, while Madrid are making a three horse race of it in Spain this year, three losses in their last four does not inspire confidence.
Diego Simeone’s side have taken no points from their last two away games in all competitions and have won just two of their last five as visitors in the Champions League.
Milan’s tight defence means this is likely to be a low scoring affair and with eight of their last nine in Europe yielding fewer than three goals, a home win with under 2.5 is the pick here.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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