Spirited Man United showing to last a half as Bayern prevail

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Sometimes all you need to adequately gauge how tough a task a football side face in an upcoming match is to take a look at the match betting market.

That’s certainly the case as Manchester United entertain Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final clash, with Ladbrokes summing up the mountain David Moyes’ men must climb by handing them unprecedented odds of 5/1 to win at home.

Pep Guardiola’s visitors, who wrapped up the Bundesliga title two games ago and could rest players for this occasion, are afforded favouritism at 1/2, while the draw is a 7/2 shot.

With those prices doing the all the necessary talking about who is going to win the game for us, it leaves plenty of opportunity to uncover a far more valuable bet to make.

That, after some deliberation, revolves around the half-time/full-time market and specifically the 10/3 about the sides being level at the break before the Germans claim victory.

Man United’s record at home in Europe is the backbone for the punt, where they are unbeaten at Old Trafford and yet to take in Moyes’ half-time words trailing in a match.

In the Premier League, despite obvious failings, the Red Devils have rarely fallen behind at the break, doing so in just 10 of their 32 outings to date.

As we’ve already highlighted though, United are experiencing severe problems in defence with injuries wiping out their would-be-first-choice back four.

So with United weak at the back, we fully expect the inspiration of the home crowd to fade and Bayern’s qualities to shine through, especially as they’ve won 20 of their 28 second halves in the Bundesliga this season.

If those theories don’t wash with you though, it’s 1/1 that Bayern finish both half halves in front with United overturning a first-half deficit to draw a 18/1 shot.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.