Man City v Gladbach: Back hosts to win but also concede

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It would be reasonable to assume that Manchester City will win in their first Champions League game proper under Pep Guardiola.

After all, the Citizens have strode to victory in all six games for the Spaniard in all competitions and have looked far from troubled in any of them.

Indeed our match-betting market indicates just how well-fancied City are, with odds of 2/5 associated to the home win against Borussia Monchengladbach, compared to 7/1 about the German visitors.

However, while those wins up to now have been reeled off with an air of incivility, they have been far from unblemished.

The Etihad Stadium side have not kept a clean sheet in any of their four Premier League outings and look unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a Bundesliga outfit that had little trouble netting against them in this competition last season.

In fact, all four of the pair’s meetings have seen both teams score, albeit with the first two coming all the way back in 1979.

Nevertheless, the trend makes having a dabble on our 6/4 that there are goals for both sides in a game that City win the play to make.

That bet has landed in four of the Premier League club’s six assignments this season, while both of Gladbach’s two games this season have also seen the net ripple at both ends.

Elsewhere, Sergio Aguero heads our market to break the deadlock at 14/5. His three-game ban for elbowing West Ham’s Winston Reid only applies to domestic outings and with Guardiola claiming the striker is over a recent calf injury, Aguero looks set to lead City’s line.

The last time the former Atletico Madrid man turned out for the Citizens in Europe, he netted a hat-trick against Steaua Bucharest. We go 12/1 that he repeats the trick.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.