Three successive Stamford Bridge clean sheets in the Champions League and six shut outs in a row at home in all competitions will certainly give Chelsea a degree of confidence that they can turn around their quarter final with PSG.
Jose Mourinho’s men are 5/2 to battle back from their 3-1 first-leg deficit in Paris to qualify for the semi finals and 6/4 to add to their run of home clean sheets.
To many, their chances of keeping out the runaway Ligue 1 leaders will be further boosted by the absence of PSG’s leading marksman Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who injured a hamstring in the first meeting with Chelsea.
The Swede has already scored 10 goals in the competition this season and has been a huge influence to PSG’s attacking play, which has resulted in 14 goals being scored in their four road trips in the Champions League thus far.
With Ibrahimovic out, it seems difficult to anticipate PSG maintaining their average of over two goals in European away games, but it may enable the real Edinson Cavani to stand up.
PSG are 9/4 to score over 1.5 goals at Stamford Bridge and in Cavani, they have a forward who is over four times more likely to find the target when Ibrahimovic is off the pitch.
French newspaper L’Equipe has indicated that when the pair play together, Cavani averages a goal every 199 minutes, which is not aided by a starting position closer to the right touchline.
However, the Uruguayan’s minute-per-goal ratio drops emphatically to 43 when switching to a more central role without Ibrahimovic.
Cavani is 6/1 to score first against Chelsea and a tempting 7/4 to be on the scoresheet at any time in the 90 minutes.
For those feeling especially adventurous, it is 50/1 that Cavani helps himself to a hat-trick in London.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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