No team has ever overturned a 4-0 deficit after the first leg of a Champions League knockout game, explaining the price of 14/1 on Tito Villanova’s men being present at the final at Wembley on May 25th.
If they are to overturn their first leg demolition then the Catalans will more than likely need to shut-up shop. This has been a real issue for Barca this term, recording just four shut-outs in Europe throughout this campaign.
They come up against a Bayern side that has scored 26 times in this competition this term – more than any other club – and have failed to find the net just once in their 11 ties, so a price of 12/5 on the home side keeping a clean sheet looks too short.
Alternatively 5/1 on a German defensive display that sees them hold out for the 90 minutes looks generous, considering that their back four has not been breached in 275 minutes in this tournament, when Laurent Koscielny struck for Arsenal.
Fortunately, there is a glimmer of hope for those besotted with Barcelona’s tiki-taka style.
Their previous three games at the Camp Nou against German sides have seen them win by at least four clear goals. Two of these victories came over Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, but more importantly one of these successes came courtesy of a 4-0 victory over their opponents here.
The hosts are 25/1 to record the 4-0 win that will see the game go into extra-time, and this is a feat they have already achieved in this season’s Champions League after romping to a four goal victory over Milan in front of their own supporters just a month and a half ago.
Those who feel that the four-time winners can make it through to the English hosted final may have to rely on a penalty shoot-out victory which is available at 66/1, while victory in an added 30 minutes after the 90 appeals at 50/1 to those who believe in the Blaugrana.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.