If you’ve got plans tonight – cancel them. The third T20 quarter-final between Hampshire and Lancashire is taking place and there’s more value to be had than at the clearance section at Poundland.
With a place at fancy dress central (Finals Day) at stake, the Royals are 4/7 to win, which is a small price for a clash between two evenly matched sides.
The justification is that the defending champions have only lost five short-form games in three years and have won eight of nine in the current campaign.
But this is T20 cricket. The pressure of a high-profile televised occasion over a format where games are often won and lost on the narrowest of margins, make the Lightning’s price of 11/8 a tempting option.
Perhaps even more enticing is in the ‘Team Sixes’ market considering Lancashire have cleared the ropes 39 times this season, eight more than their southern opponents. With this statistical advantage, you’d expect the Red Rose county to be shorter than the 4/5 they are currently priced at.
However the real value is in the batsman categories.
Michael Carberry has been in immense form for Hampshire of late, scoring 396 run in nine T20 innings and bludgeoning 47 fours in the process.
This average of 5.2 boundaries (fours not sixes) is significantly above his ‘Number of fours’ line which sits at 2.5 with Ladbrokes.
Similarly, Jimmy Adams’ Number of fours’ line is marked at just 1.5. You read that right. If the Hants skipper, the man with nearly 2000 T20 runs to his name, hits just two fours then you are in business.
To be fair, the opener’s form has been a little patchy this season but he still averages 1.88 fours per innings, with a 2.32 life time average.
Get on both of these players to achieve these modest targets at 10/11 and 8/13 respectively.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing