With Carberry at crease go for LBW or bowled in Ashes Next DM

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England have it all to do when the second Ashes Test resumes on day three in Adelaide and with opener Michael Carberry at the crease, it may well pay handsomely to swerve the short odds on the next wicket to fall coming by way of a catch.

It’s not difficult to see why one of Joe Root or Carberry being caught is given by far the leanest odds of 4/9 to be the method of next dismissal at the Adelaide Oval.

After all, no fewer than 19 of the 20 wickets to tumble during England’s Gabba drubbing arrived with the ball ending up in either Brad Haddin’s gloves or the hands of other grateful Aussie fielders.

Interestingly, though, the only break in this deluge of miss-struck air shots came when Ashes debutant, Carberry, had his stumps knocked over in the second dig by Ryan Harris.

This alone could give punters some ammo of their own to plump for the very attractive odds of 4/1 that the next Australian scalp comes by the way of either man being bowled.

Given the fact that Aussie quick Mitchell Johnson is regularly slinging the cherry down in excess of 90mph and has already accounted for captain Alastair Cook by this very method, if someone with as much Test experience as Cook is struggling to pick Johnson’s bullets, then Carberry and Root must be in trouble.

This theory was fully put to the test with the very last ball of the first day, when Johnson struck Carberry on the pads and had the hosts appealed, replays have since shown the Hampshire man would not even be walking out on day three in Adelaide.

Therefore, punters may well wish to take the 7/2 on the first LBW of the series being the next DM when the next England wicket tumbles.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.